We Remember Our Wins and Forget Our Misses
Humans are natural storytellers—and unreliable historians of their own judgment.
We remember the predictions that came true.
We rationalize the ones that didn’t.
We quietly rewrite our internal narrative.
This is how overconfidence, hindsight bias, confirmation bias, and motivated reasoning take hold—without us even noticing.
Most platforms reward confidence and virality. Very few reward calibration, learning, or intellectual honesty.
Predict1st exists to change that.